And as people focus more closely on this race, they will surely come to recognize that Trump is not a generic Republican candidate but rather an unscrupulous and vulgar narcissist, a pathological liar, a bigot and a xenophobe. That will overwhelm what any model would predict. Because, in the end, we do think.
During Adlai Stevenson’s 1956 presidential campaign, a woman called out to him, “Governor Stevenson, all thinking people are for you!” And he answered, “That’s not enough. I need a majority.”
We can only hope that Fareed Zakaria is right and Adlai Stevenson is wrong.